According to a poll released this week, support for Donald Trump among Hispanic voters in Texas has grown since 2020, and the same is true of black voters.
The Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation polled 1,200 likely voters in mid-September and found a continued theme of eroding support for Democrat presidential candidates. Kamala Harris has a six-point lead over Trump with Hispanic voters (49 percent vs. 43 percent), down from a Democrat 10-point lead among Hispanics in 2020.
In 2020, Trump enjoyed just 6 percent of the black vote, according to the group. Now, that number is up to 17 percent.
In a release promoting the poll, the Foundation, led by a bipartisan cadre of former elected officials, highlighted that former President Trump’s lead has been cut in half since April. In that poll, Trump was leading among Hispanics by four points.
In the lead-up to the 2020 election, the group’s polling understated support for Republicans at the top of the ticket. The presidential race poll was within the margin of error, but the Senate race between John Cornyn and M.J. Hegar was missed by a larger margin (6.7 percent).
Kamala Harris is upside down, with 44 percent favorable and 54 percent unfavorable ratings compared to Trump’s 51 percent to 48 percent. Although Harris’ numbers were bad, President Joe Biden’s were worse; the group’s April polling found the cognitively declining POTUS with a 37 percent favorable mark to 62 percent unfavorable.
Liberals on social media were quick to chastise Hispanics supporting Trump, claiming, without merit, that American citizens who happen to be Hispanic would be rounded up and deported should Trump win in November.
There is a long-running indicator that Hispanics in Texas are more aligned with a strong approach to the border.
For as long as the University of Texas at Austin has been polling, they’ve featured a question gauging support of deporting illegal aliens in the U.S., and Hispanics polled have strongly supported this policy.
In April 2024, when asked about support or opposition to the federal government’s increasing deportations of people who are already in the country illegally, 56 percent of Hispanics supported it compared to 34 percent in opposition.
When it comes to the impact of illegal aliens on the economy and jobs, the numbers are even more stark, with 60 percent of Hispanics polled supporting the penalization of businesses that hire illegal aliens compared to 25 percent opposition.
Asked in August which candidate for president they trusted to do a better job on immigration and border security, 49 percent of Hispanics polled by UT said Trump would do a better job, compared to 36 percent for Harris.
Race-obsessed responses to the poll from the left also included accounts claiming that “Texas Hispanics hate their own people” and view themselves as “equal to Caucasian whites.”
Anti-Trump Republicans, including the CEO of the Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation, have fundamentally misunderstood Trump’s appeal to Hispanic voters.
In their press release announcing the poll, the group’s CEO, former Texas House member Jason Villalba, suggested, “If Harris were able to bolster her support among Hispanics in a meaningful way, she would have a significantly greater chance of flipping Texas blue.”
For this to be the case, Harris would need to outperform Biden’s margin with Hispanics by a wide margin.
However, Texas Republicans did not enjoy the same support from Hispanics in 2022. Following the 2022 election, it was reported that Republican support among Hispanics dropped two points from 42 percent to 40 percent.
Without Trump on the ticket, Republicans in Texas perform worse with Hispanic voters.
The General Election is slated for November 5. Early voting runs from October 21-November 1.
