National campaign commentator Jim Ellis on Monday pointed to recent polls showing U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz with a lead over Robert Francis “Beto” O’Rourke.

Public Policy Polling for End Citizens United (8/1-2; 797 TX likely voters)
Sen. Ted Cruz (R) 46%
Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D) 42%

Quinnipiac University (7/26-31; 1,118 TX registered voters)
Sen. Ted Cruz (R) 49%
Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D) 43%

At RealClearPolitics, recent polling shows Cruz with a lead ranging from 5 to 10 points. (An outlier is the discredited “Texas Lyceum” poll, which usually favors Democrats and has Cruz only ahead by two.)

Michael Quinn Sullivan

Michael Quinn Sullivan is the publisher of Texas Scorecard. He is a native Texan, a graduate of Texas A&M, and an Eagle Scout. Previously, he has worked as a newspaper reporter, magazine contributor, Capitol Hill staffer, and think tank vice president. Michael and his wife have three adult children, a son-in-law, and a dog. Check out his podcast, Reflections on Life and Liberty.